🌌 Part 2: Solana skyfall

How Solana nearly lost it all in 2022

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Today, we’ve got part two of Solana’s underdog story, negative SOL sentiment, and pump.fun’s AMM:

Solana underdogs: The fall

This is part two of a series on Solana’s rise, fall, and comeback. Click here to read part one.

In 2021, Solana’s ecosystem seemed unstoppable as it expanded at breakneck speed. Funding poured into DeFi projects like Serum, Raydium and Mango Markets. NFT marketplaces like Magic Eden began to rival Ethereum competitors like OpenSea, and the network saw record-breaking transaction volume. But underlying this rapid ascent was a precarious dependency: Alameda Research and FTX.

These two companies, both founded by the now incarcerated Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), were some of Solana’s earliest and most influential backers. Alameda had participated in multiple funding rounds, acquiring vast amounts of SOL tokens. FTX hosted Solana hackathons and played a pivotal role in launching and sustaining Serum, a decentralized exchange that was one of Solana’s flagship applications.

At first, this deep entanglement with FTX was an inarguable advantage. Bankman-Fried — who was viewed at the time as something of a visionary — became one of Solana’s most vocal supporters, frequently touting its superiority over Ethereum. The partnership helped Solana attract liquidity, developers and institutional credibility. However, it also meant that Solana’s fate became closely tied to the success of FTX.

In November 2022, everything unraveled almost overnight. Reports surfaced that FTX had an $8 billion hole in its balance sheet, ostensibly due to reckless financial practices involving Alameda and its founder SBF. Panic quickly spread. FTX customers rushed to withdraw funds, triggering a liquidity crisis that the exchange could not survive. Within days, FTX and Alameda had both imploded, taking with them billions in customer funds and erasing Sam Bankman-Fried’s empire to naught but lone and level sands.

The fallout was catastrophic for the entire crypto industry, but no blockchain suffered more than Solana. Investors, fearing deeper contagion, rushed to offload their holdings. SOL's price had already fallen significantly from its all-time high of nearly $250 a year prior, and was trading at around $37. While the broader bear market was responsible for that decline in majority, the implosion of FTX sent its price tumbling further to around $9.77.

DeFi activity on the network dried up instantly. Serum, which relied on FTX to operate, collapsed, leaving traders to scramble for alternatives. The broader Web3 community, already skeptical of Solana’s stability due to its past network outages, now labeled it as “Sam’s Chain,” a blockchain that had flown too close to the sun and was now destined to fade into irrelevance. Despite this, the crash was not as prolonged as some expected. Solana rebounded above $20-24 within the following weeks, though it remained in a long period of sideways price stagnation for much of the next year.

The psychological toll was arguably more severe than the financial damage. Developers who had built their projects on Solana questioned whether the network could survive. Venture capital firms, once eager to fund Solana startups, pulled back, shifting their focus to Ethereum and the promise of L2s. But even as the walls closed in, Solana’s deeply loyal core community fervently refused to capitulate. Convinced that the technology itself was sound, a dedicated handful of creators, validators and users insisted they'd continue building and evangelizing. But would their belief alone be enough?

Next time: The comeback. How Solana defied the odds, rebuilt from the ashes, and reclaimed its place as a powerhouse in Web3.

— Jeffrey Albus

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The timeline isn’t too stoked for SOL lately:

Online sentiment toward Solana has flipped negative for 10 consecutive days, according to data from Kaito. For those with short-term memory loss, Javier Milei launched LIBRA 10 days ago.

X users aren’t really a representative sample of crypto users, but it’s still worth noting how quickly Crypto Twitter soured on SOL — at the same time the asset’s price has taken a tumble.

— Jack Kubinec

Raydium’s token has fallen 25% over the past 24 hours on news that the memecoin launchpad pump.fun is testing its own automated market maker. A source familiar with pump.fun’s plans confirmed the AMM is in the works as a way to drive more trading revenue to the platform. Pump.fun memecoins made up 43% of Raydium’s swap fee revenue over the past 30 days, according to Blockworks Research.

For those unacquainted with the trenches: Once pump.fun tokens gain a certain amount of liquidity, they graduate to the Solana AMM Raydium. This means the pump.fun boom has been bullish for Raydium, which collects swap and launch fees. The protocol made some $182 million in gross profit in 2024.

By launching its own AMM, pump.fun could theoretically pocket a lot of fees that currently go to Raydium. Still, Raydium is the most liquid place to trade memecoins, and it remains to be seen whether pump.fun can build as liquid of an AMM on its own.

— Jack Kubinec

A message from Chris Hermida, co-founder of Switchboard, in the Lightspeed Telegram group: